Much of the diplomatic and military responses since February have been predictable and in line with historical trends. There are, however, certain factors that make the situation in Kashmir potentially far more volatile.
Analysis
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The truth and reconciliation process will allow families to know how their relatives disappeared or were killed. The complex task will be how to establish what is truthful, and what is not.
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Exaggerated fears about growing Chinese power can become a cause of conflict. The same logic applies in cyberspace.
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There is no simple answer to improve development aid in contexts of armed conflict, but it is worth considering all options.
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The stakes of getting election accountability right are high. If these processes fail, the credibility of Nigeria’s democracy could be undermined, possibly contributing to a more volatile environment for the 2023 elections.
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Bringing an end to “Christmas tree” mandates is only a good idea if this bureaucratic measure is complemented by the other political and material commitments in the A4P declarations.
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Transferring full security responsibilities to the government of Somalia by the December 2021 target set by the UN Security Council is unlikely.
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It is important to consider what is at stake if the status of women in Afghanistan is not clarified during peace negotiations.
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Rather than turning up the temperature, governments should be working to de-escalate the crisis before Venezuela melts down entirely.
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The UN has always faced a gap between its aspiration and performance. Yet, as Sir Brian observed, the UN is the only global design for the daunting task of managing both conflict and progress.
