A spike in violence in recent months has seen the tone of fighting shift from the Muslim against Christian nature of the immediate post-coup period to one more strongly driven by ethnic differences and old intercommunal grudges.
Author: Tendai Marima
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As Sassou Nguesso’s controversial new five-year term progresses, the targeting of opposition politicians and activists continues.
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Six months since the African Union proclaimed the establishment of the hybrid court of South Sudan to try war crimes and acts of extreme violence, the institution appears to be in limbo.
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With less than a month to go before the referendum, there are concerns from political and humanitarian observers as well as government officials that CAR is not adequately prepared for polls.
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Aside from fears of clashes leading to a resurgence in widespread conflict, logistical hurdles also threaten effective implementation of the Compromise Peace Agreement.
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Supporting the rebels, General Leonard Ngendakumana, a former military serviceman involved in the attempted coup, has warned of an impending power struggle if Nkurunziza remains in power.
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Beyond boosting Nkurunziza’s reelection bid, the poll results could provide CNDD-FDD more statutory powers to cement its rule, allowing it to unilaterally introduce changes in Burundian law.
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The United Nations dialogue is continuing in the capital Bujumbura and remains the best hope for a peaceful resolution to the crisis.